Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.008986 0.010644 0.012654 0.015312 0.018803 0.023329 0.029816
2025-06-15 0.006768 0.008660 0.011227 0.015103 0.021086 0.030509 0.047809
2025-06-22 0.005407 0.007232 0.009880 0.014227 0.021701 0.035269 0.065768
2025-06-29 0.004726 0.006557 0.009368 0.014330 0.023758 0.043449 0.098737
2025-07-06 0.004311 0.006178 0.009190 0.014881 0.026798 0.055607 0.160721
2025-07-13 0.004069 0.006015 0.009310 0.015974 0.031441 0.075621 0.303716
2025-07-20 0.003790 0.005739 0.009171 0.016508 0.035103 0.097101 0.567452
2025-07-27 0.003501 0.005401 0.008850 0.016564 0.037611 0.118263 1.050854
2025-08-03 0.003263 0.005121 0.008589 0.016679 0.040401 0.145502 2.262266
2025-08-10 0.002996 0.004757 0.008106 0.016150 0.040974 0.163746 4.422159
2025-08-17 0.002726 0.004359 0.007503 0.015195 0.039740 0.170562 7.402837
2025-08-24 0.002514 0.004050 0.007046 0.014525 0.039271 0.182859 15.857682
2025-08-31 0.002389 0.003911 0.006961 0.014907 0.043397 0.245502 807.429650
2025-09-07 0.002230 0.003693 0.006681 0.014712 0.045317 0.301611 NaN
2025-09-14 0.002044 0.003404 0.006209 0.013867 0.043974 0.320050 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001943 0.003273 0.006071 0.013966 0.047145 0.421749 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001879 0.003209 0.006075 0.014498 0.053059 0.641414 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001847 0.003208 0.006226 0.015553 0.063259 1.224189 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001788 0.003143 0.006213 0.016067 0.071085 2.184152 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001712 0.003035 0.006079 0.016121 0.076008 3.569680 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001644 0.002940 0.005968 0.016232 0.081794 6.617834 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001557 0.002795 0.005709 0.015722 0.081895 9.177974 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001459 0.002622 0.005362 0.014801 0.077590 9.301763 NaN